Ukwenziwa kweModeli yoSasazo lweeNdawo zokuZalela kunye nezikhewu zoLondolozo lweeGoose ezimhlophe eziNcinci eSiberia phantsi koTshintsho lweMozulu.

Iintlobo (zeentaka):Ihansi Elimhlophe Elincinci Elingaphambili (iAnser erythropus)

Ijenali:Umhlaba

Isishwankathelo:

Utshintsho lwemozulu lube ngunobangela obalulekileyo wokulahleka kwendawo yokuhlala yeentaka kunye notshintsho ekufudukeni nasekuzaleni kweentaka. Ihansi elimhlophe elingaphantsi (i-Anser erythropus) linemikhwa emininzi yokufuduka kwaye libhalwe njengelisengozini kwi-IUCN (International Union for Conservation of Nature) Red List. Kolu phononongo, ukusasazwa kweendawo ezifanelekileyo zokuzalela ihansi elimhlophe elingaphantsi kwahlolwa eSiberia, eRashiya, kusetyenziswa indibaniselwano yokulandelela ngesathelayithi kunye nedatha yotshintsho lwemozulu. Iimpawu zokusasazwa kweendawo ezifanelekileyo zokuzalela phantsi kweemeko ezahlukeneyo zemozulu kwixesha elizayo zaxelwa kwangaphambili kusetyenziswa imodeli yeMaxent, kwaye kwavavanywa izikhewu zokhuseleko. Uhlalutyo lubonise ukuba phantsi kwemvelaphi yotshintsho lwemozulu kwixesha elizayo, ubushushu kunye nemvula ziya kuba zezona zinto ziphambili zemozulu ezichaphazela ukusasazwa kweendawo zokuzalela, kwaye indawo enxulumene neendawo ezifanelekileyo zokuzalela iya kubonisa umkhwa wokuncipha. Iindawo ezidweliswe njengendawo efanelekileyo yokuhlala zibalwa kuphela yi-3.22% yokusasazwa okukhuselweyo; nangona kunjalo, i-1,029,386.341 km²indawo yokuhlala efanelekileyo ibonwe ngaphandle kwendawo ekhuselweyo. Ukufumana idatha yokusasazwa kweentlobo zezilwanyana kubalulekile ekuphuhliseni ukhuseleko lweendawo zokuhlala kwiindawo ezikude. Iziphumo ezivezwe apha zinokubonelela ngesiseko sokuphuhlisa amaqhinga okulawula iindawo zokuhlala ezithile zezilwanyana kwaye zibonisa ukuba ingqwalasela eyongezelelweyo kufuneka igxile ekukhuseleni iindawo ezivulekileyo.